Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.171683 0.193207 0.215792 0.241203 0.268943 0.298250 0.331498
2025-03-16 0.141499 0.170421 0.202367 0.240082 0.283195 0.330743 0.386943
2025-03-23 0.123466 0.157658 0.197109 0.245585 0.303114 0.368770 0.448902
2025-03-30 0.106632 0.143798 0.188439 0.245310 0.315082 0.397119 0.500038
2025-04-06 0.093079 0.132092 0.180727 0.244751 0.325664 0.423328 0.548812
2025-04-13 0.081824 0.121881 0.173590 0.243755 0.334852 0.447424 0.595154
2025-04-20 0.074075 0.115344 0.170335 0.246997 0.348924 0.477484 0.649299
2025-04-27 0.068682 0.111384 0.169943 0.253581 0.367144 0.512967 0.710959
2025-05-04 0.062196 0.105151 0.165799 0.254545 0.377574 0.538350 0.760021
2025-05-11 0.058219 0.102161 0.165828 0.260991 0.395316 0.573518 0.822455
2025-05-18 0.054545 0.099235 0.165617 0.266866 0.412228 0.607808 0.884362
2025-05-25 0.049278 0.093286 0.160455 0.265158 0.418230 0.627277 0.926676
2025-06-01 0.044949 0.088533 0.156865 0.265675 0.427565 0.651845 0.976998
2025-06-08 0.040634 0.083368 0.152226 0.264252 0.433870 0.672208 1.021909
2025-06-15 0.038308 0.081382 0.152414 0.270073 0.450823 0.707786 1.088531
2025-06-22 0.034966 0.077250 0.148808 0.269710 0.458420 0.730124 1.137002
2025-06-29 0.031906 0.073313 0.145209 0.269072 0.465416 0.751597 1.184544
2025-07-06 0.029069 0.069492 0.141504 0.267978 0.471523 0.771761 1.230476
2025-07-13 0.027237 0.067433 0.140670 0.271463 0.484723 0.802517 1.292150
2025-07-20 0.026102 0.066652 0.142009 0.278553 0.503716 0.842198 1.367461
2025-07-27 0.024174 0.064038 0.139857 0.279589 0.513032 0.867522 1.422176
2025-08-03 0.023203 0.063346 0.141157 0.286532 0.531960 0.907664 1.499369
2025-08-10 0.022212 0.062508 0.142108 0.292858 0.550001 0.946763 1.575646